My 2025 Fantasy Football Trends for Week 13 article has arrived just in time to help you in your matchups this week and in the future!
Happy Thanksgiving from the UK! It may just be a normal Thursday over here, but it’s still a day filled with football (your kind, not that other one). It’s worth mentioning two things I’m thankful for – firstly, the fact that I was not facing Jahmyr Gibbs in my most crucial matchup last week. And, secondly, the fact that this silly game about a game can bring people together from all walks of life, providing us with some solace in an increasingly chaotic world. So with the playoffs around the corner, here are five key trends to keep an eye on.
Treveyon Henderson’s 72% running back rush share
Following Henderson’s surge in production over the last two weeks, all eyes were on New England as to how the Patriots would split their backfield with Rhamondre Stevenson returning. The result? Good but not great.
Henderson handled 18 of the Patriots’ 25 backfield touches, representing a 72% share, with Stevenson only seeing six carries. The rookie was also much more efficient, rushing for 66 yards, while adding a further 15 yards through three receptions (four targets). As a result, Henderson finished with 11.1 PPR points, his fourth successive double-digit performance. The worry, however, is that the split usage in the red zone somewhat limits his upside. Henderson only saw one of the five rushes given to running backs inside the 20, with Stevenson handling three.
This means that half of the carries Stevenson was given were in the red zone. The upcoming schedule for Henderson is highly enticing, but we should be a little worried about the ceiling if this usage continues near the goal line.
Brenton Strange’s team-high 93 receiving yards
It’s been a rather bizarre season for the Jacksonville offense. One bright spot, however, has been Brenton Strange, who immediately returned to relevance upon coming back from injury. The second-year tight end delivered his best performance of the season so far, leading the team with 93 receiving yards as he reeled in all five of his targets. His usage is equally encouraging as his efficiency. The five targets represented a 16.7% target share, meaning Strange has now seen 5.6 targets per game across the five games in which he has played from start to finish, showcasing how he has been a trusted asset in the offense this year.
Brian Thomas Jr. may be on his way back after logging a full practice on Thursday, but given his inconsistency this year, there are plenty of opportunities for other pass catchers. Strange should remain a high-floor option as we enter the latter stages of the regular season.
Emeka Egbuka’s 51.9% catchable target rate since week 6
Egbuka exploded onto the fantasy scene, scoring 20.5 PPR points per game across his first five games in the league. Since then, however, Egbuka’s production has been stymied by both injury and a lack of opportunities. From week 6 onwards, the rookie has scored 9.9 PPR points per game, a figure slightly skewed by a 23.6 point game in week 10 – his only double-digit performance over that period. This is despite Egbuka averaging around 9 targets per game over the last 6 games.
One of the most significant issues has been a lack of catchable targets: only 51.9% of his targets were deemed catchable, according to Fantasy Points Data. Unfortunately, Baker Mayfield’s untimely injury may hinder the end of Egbuka’s rookie season even further.
Wan’Dale Robinson’s 11 targets per game since week 9
The plethora of injuries occurring to key Giants players this season has been incredibly frustrating for fantasy players. Amid all the chaos, one player who has emerged is Wan’Dale Robinson. The fourth-year receiver enjoyed a career game last week, turning his 14 targets into nine catches for 156 yards and a touchdown. This huge outing represented a target share of over 40% and marked his fifth double-digit PPR performance in his last seven games. The previous four games, in particular, have seen more consistent usage, with 11 targets per game since week 9, showcasing the level of trust the dynamic receiver has with multiple quarterbacks at a time when Malik Nabers is missing.
No matter whether it’s Dart or Winston starting at quarterback, Robinson is turning into a trustworthy weekly option in fantasy, with some huge upside in the right spot.
Kenneth Gainwell’s 5.5 targets per game over the last four weeks
The RB3 in PPR scoring over the last two weeks? Kenneth Gainwell. Yes, it’s a very small sample size, but Gainwell’s usage and production have been on an upward trajectory. After spending much of this season clearly behind Jaylen Warren, Gainwell has suddenly carved out a more meaningful workload – particularly in the passing game. Across the last four weeks, Gainwell has averaged 5.5 targets per game. This has peaked over the previous two weeks, with the fifth-year back seeing 14 targets, turning them into 13 catches for 111 yards and two touchdowns.
There has also been an uptick in touches on the ground, demonstrating the team’s desire to get Gainwell the ball in his hands. Gainwell has had 19 rushes over the last two weeks, representing a 36.5% rush share, up from 28.6% across the first ten weeks of the year. With this kind of usage, Gainwell is quietly becoming a sneaky difference-maker down the stretch.
Thanks for diving into some of the 2025 Fantasy Football Trends for Week 13!
For more insight into more fantasy football trends in the future this season, make sure to click here! You can follow me on Twitter/X at @JKlonowskiNFL. Feel free to reach out and ask for fantasy football advice anytime. Until next time!
